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Smoke Forecasts for Blanket Creek and Spruce Lake Fires -- Aug. 18, 2017

Smoke Outlook:  High Cascades Complex                                 
Issued for: Friday, August 18, 2017 
Air Resource Advisor: Trent Wickman (twickman@fs.fed.us)



Fire
Blanket Creek Fire – Some growth is expected along the eastern and southern sides over the next couple days. 
Spruce Lake Fire – Minimal fire spread is expected as it finds scattered pockets of fuels.  It is in mop up and patrol status.
There are about 10 small fires in the complex.  Given the lower humidities, higher winds and better mixing, fire activity should increase.

Smoke
The winds will continue to be generally from the northeast in the overnight hours, becoming northwest during the day.  This pattern looks to hold through the weekend.  The inversion may lift higher today, mixing more smoke out of the valleys.  The numerous small fires in the area are leading to a general haze.

Smoke can be expected to move towards the southeast in the afternoon.  In the evening the smoke will drain down the valleys such as: the Wood River toward Chiloquin and Klamath Falls and the Upper Rogue towards Prospect and Shady Cove.  

Tourists at Crater Lake National Park will be able to view and smell smoke. Visitors should check for road closures and other announcements ahead of time.  Visitors can check https://www.nps.gov/crla/planyourvisit/conditions.htm for updates.

Air Quality Outlook
Sites with air quality monitors
Site
Thursday
August 17, 2017
Friday
August 18, 2017
Saturday
August 19, 2017
Notes for Friday’s forecast
Ashland
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate

Medford
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate

Shady Cove
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Most severe impacts in the overnight/early morning
Prospect
No data
USG
USG
Most severe impacts in the overnight/early morning
Crater Lake NP (visitor center)
USG
USG
USG
Most severe impacts in the overnight/early morning
Chiloquin
USG
USG
USG
Most severe impacts in the overnight/early morning
Disclaimer: Conditions may change quickly. These predictions are based on anticipated weather and fire activity. AQI estimates for sites do not represent a full 24-hour time period.  Instead they reflect a period of time within the day where smoke impacts would be greatest.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
None

Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups*- USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy           
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy

Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion

*Sensitive Groups include people with heart or lung disease, children, pregnant women and older adults



Oregon Smoke Blog:
Oregon Dept of Environmental Quality
Blanket Creek Fire Information