Smoke Forecasts for Blanket Creek and Spruce Lake Fires -- Aug. 11, 2017

Smoke Outlook:  Rogue River – Siskiyou National Forest         
Issued for: Friday, August 11, 2017 
Air Resource Advisor: Carolyn Kelly (ckelly@quinault.org)

Smoke Blanket Creek Fire – Although smoke continues to linger in areas nearest to the fires, it can be expected to move towards the northeast in the afternoon.  Greatest impacts remain local and the Air Quality Alert remains in effect until 11pm tonight for areas in northeast Jackson County, southeast Douglas County, and western Klamath County.  Air quality will be ‘moderate’ in the area today.  New starts and increased fire activity have the potential to increase smoke output. Spruce Lake Fire – Tourists at Crater Lake National Park will be able to view and smell smoke. Visitors should check for road closures and other announcements ahead of time.  Visitors can check https://www.nps.gov/crla/planyourvisit/conditions.htm for updates. Fire Blanket Creek Fire – Minimal fire spread is expected.  A Red Flag Warning is in effect from 2pm to 11pm tonight due to potential lightning in the area.  Spruce Lake Fire – Minimal fire spread and a loss of intensity are expected as the fire moves southeast toward old burn scars and patchy fuel areas.
Air Quality Outlook
Sites with air quality monitors
Site	Yesterday		Today	Tomorrow	Notes for today’s forecast
Shady Cove	Moderate		Moderate	Moderate	Periods of good, possibly USG, overall moderate
Medford	Moderate		Moderate	Moderate	Periods of good, possibly USG, overall moderate
Ashland	Moderate		Moderate	Moderate	Periods of good, possibly USG, overall moderate
Chiloquin	Good		Good	Good	Periods of moderate, overall good
Prospect	Moderate		Moderate	Moderate	Periods of good, possibly USG, overall moderate
Crater Lake NP (visitor center)	Moderate		Moderate	Moderate	Periods of good,  possibly USG, overall moderate
Disclaimer: Conditions may change quickly. These predictions are based on anticipated weather and fire activity. AQI estimates for sites do not represent a full 24-hour time period.  Instead they reflect a period of time within the day where smoke impacts would be greatest.
AQI Index		Actions to Protect Yourself
Good		None
Moderate		Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups*- USG		People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy		The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy		Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous		The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion

*Sensitive Groups include people with heart or lung disease, children, pregnant women and older adults

Oregon Smoke Blog: http://oregonsmoke.blogspot.com/ Oregon Dept of Environmental Quality http://www.deq.state.or.us/aqi/ Blanket Creek Fire Information https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/5431/