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Smoke Forecast for Chetco Bar Fire -- July 30, 2017


Smoke Outlook:  Rogue River – Siskiyou National Forest          
Issued for: Sunday, July 30, 2017 

Air Resource Advisor: Duncan Leao (dleao@fs.fed.us) 

 

Synopsis

Smoke: Smoke will remain in the vicinity of the Chetco Bar fire today, drifting to the southwest in the morning and then to the south in the afternoon.  The morning inversion over the fire will break up around 10:00 am.  The smoke column will be visible later in the day around Grants Pass, Cave Junction, Gold Beach, and Brookings, however air quality is expected to remain good.  A light haze may be present. 
 
Smoke from adjacent fires such as Blanket Creek fire and the Orleans Complex in Northern California will add to a regional haze in some parts of southern Oregon.
 
Fire: Chetco Bar fire activity continues to be minimal, growing approximately 230 acres yesterday to 2,410 acres.  Fire activity today and tomorrow is expected to increase as a result of continued warmer and drier weather patterns.  This may lead to increased smoke output around the fire vicinity.
 
Other: Agness monitoring station was added 7/29. Medford and Ashland forecasts from this fire will be removed today due to negligible smoke impacts from this fire into the Rogue Valley.
Air Quality Outlook
Sites with air quality monitor
Site
Yesterday
Today
Tomorrow
Notes for today’s forecast
Shady Cove
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions throughout the day
Grants Pass
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions throughout the day
Cave Junction
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions throughout the day
Brookings
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions throughout the day
Agness
Good
Good
Good
Good conditions throughout the day
Disclaimer: Conditions may change quickly. These predictions are based on anticipated weather and fire activity. AQI estimates for sites do not represent a full 24-hour time period.  Instead they reflect a period of time within the day where smoke impacts would be greatest.
AQI Index
Actions to Protect Yourself
Good
None
 
Moderate
Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups*- USG
People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults should reduce prolonged or heavy outdoor exertion.  Everyone else should limit prolonged or heavy exertion.
Unhealthy           
The following groups should avoid all physical outdoor activity: People with heart or lung disease, children and older adults.  Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion.
Very Unhealthy
 
Everyone should avoid any outdoor exertion; people with respiratory or heart disease, the elderly and children should remain indoors.
Hazardous
The following groups should remain indoors and keep activity levels low: People with heart or lung disease; children and older adults. Everyone else should avoid prolonged or heavy exertion